Stasticial Analysis and probability Analysis

get the probability on. 1. A car has 4 tires. 2. The tires are purchased, 50% used, cleaned, and mounted by the owner of a small tire company. 3. When 1 tire was removed, a lug nut was found stripped (not relevant) 4. The tire issue occurred 3 months after there purchase, and installation. 5. The tires, showed no sign of issue at all. 6. The roads traveled as the low pressure as observed, were the same roads traveled 65% of the driving, are, divided equally between the most traveled, and the less traveled, leaving 30% traveled, leaving 5% traveled long distance. 7. The tires were all the same manufacturer, and made near the same year. 8. The tires were exactly the same model. 9. The 2005 Toyota is complete stock from the manufacturer. 10. The Toyota is driven with the same technique at all driving times. 11. The car is parked on locked storage, all the time except when driven 12. The car is driven approximately 14 hours per week. (no driving log has been set up. 13. The car has no drive parts damaged. In fact, the car was inspected and passed about 4 months ago. The car is declared in excellent mechanical condition every time it is inspected, oil change etc. 14. The installer of the tires, the seller of the tires, stated on xxxxx, that in his opinion, the chance for the incident tested below to be valid, is less than 1% chance of occurrence, in his life time tire store business. (opinion) 15. All tires originated from the XXXX company, a very huge corporation, with a very good reputation. 16. The gas station had a air pressure fill station, it was broken, and the attendant refunded the quarters, then the car was driven home, there fore the attempt to fill the tires then is 100% verified. WHAT HAPPENED: 1. On xxxxday at xxxxx I inspected the Toyota, as I filled with gas, driving home, after traveling the 65% roads, and I found all the tires with low pressure. The right rear tire was 10, the others 16-18 pounds pressure. 2. (*****For another study we can do—was the 10 pound pressure tire in danger of blowing out, where a dangerous situation would have been created.******) 3. The auto was driven home, and stored inside that evening. 4. The next day, all tires were inflated to 30 pounds, and the auto was driven to a auto/tire repair facility, about 30 miles, on the 30% traveled road. 5. New air pressure stems were installed, on all four tires. 6. No tire was found to have a defect or something lodged in the tire, that would cause low pressure situation. PROBABLIITY 1. What is the probability that the tires became low pressure, all tires different low pressures, were observed at the gas station at xxxxx P.M., after driven on the 65% roads, for about 1 hour. POSTLOG: Most of the facts are not important for your formula, but are written above so you have the ability to use them if needed. Looking for your formula. The analysis needed to be written out, so as to show the parameters that were used to make the decision are written out, their relevancy is noted, and your final conclusion if determined. We believe this A CRIME. We need your math work for evidence. Thanks. PLease apply if you are experienced with stats, and have a stats add on for excel, or similar program. I personally love statistical analysis. Thanks Cb